Reasons and consequences of China’s implementing digital yuan

China’s digital yuan, officially known as the e-CNY or Digital Currency Electronic Payment (DCEP), represents a pioneering effort in the realm of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs). Launched by the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) after years of research starting in 2014, the e-CNY has evolved from pilot programs in select cities to broader adoption across the country by 2025.

The active implementation of the digital yuan is not merely a technological upgrade but a multifaceted strategy driven by economic, political and geopolitical imperatives.

As of mid-2024, it boasts over 150 million users and is operational in more than 10 regions, with transactions facilitating everything from everyday retail purchases to business-to-business payments. The digital yuan is a state-backed fiat currency, pegged 1:1 to the physical renminbi (RMB – yuan), and designed to function as legal tender that no entity in China can refuse.

It is time to analyse the core reasons behind China’s push for the e-CNY, analyzing domestic motivations such as enhancing financial efficiency and control, as well as international ambitions like challenging the U.S. dollar’s dominance and integrating with broader initiatives like the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI).

At the heart of China’s digital yuan initiative lies a suite of domestic imperatives aimed at modernizing the financial system, promoting inclusion, and asserting greater state oversight in an economy increasingly dominated by private tech giants.

One primary driver is to foster financial inclusion in a vast and diverse economy. With a population around 1.4 billion, China still has segments of society – particularly in rural areas – that remain underserved by traditional banking. The e-CNY aims to bridge this gap by providing a digital alternative to cash that is accessible via mobile wallets, requiring minimal infrastructure beyond a smartphone. Reduced transaction costs are a key advantage, as the digital yuan eliminates many fees associated with physical currency handling and traditional electronic transfers, making it more affordable for low-income users.

Moreover, the PBOC emphasizes the need for retail payment services that are “more convenient, safe, inclusive, and privacy-friendly” in response to the digital economy’s growth. Pilot programs have demonstrated practical benefits, such as seamless integration with existing QR code systems, allowing for faster settlements in business-to-business and bank-to-business scenarios.

By 2025, the e-CNY has been rolled out in high-profile locations like Shenzhen, the hub of tech innovation, signaling its role in streamlining urban payments while extending reach to underserved regions.

A critical domestic reason is to reclaim control from private fintech behemoths like Alipay (operated by Ant Group) and WeChat Pay (Tencent), which dominate over 90% of China’s mobile payments market, processing trillions in yuan annually. These platforms have revolutionized payments but also created a duopoly that bypasses traditional banks, raising concerns about systemic risks and data monopolization. The digital yuan represents a “u-turn” toward government-led technology, utilizing similar infrastructure like digital wallets and QR codes but under PBOC oversight.

This shift allows the state to mitigate risks such as bank runs, where users might rapidly withdraw funds from banks to private wallets. Caps on daily conversions (e.g., up to 10,000 yuan in some pilots) help stabilize the banking system. Furthermore, the e-CNY enables advanced monitoring through centralized databases for identity mapping, transaction tracking, and big data analysis, aiding in anti-money laundering, fraud detection and compliance with capital controls. Privacy is touted as a feature – with “controlled anonymity” where users are pseudonymous to merchants but traceable by authorities.

The rise of cryptocurrencies posed an early threat, prompting China to ban them outright while accelerating CBDC development. The digital yuan was explicitly designed to prevent “monetary substitution” from assets like Bitcoin or stablecoins, which could erode the RMB’s sovereignty. By offering a state-sanctioned digital alternative, China stabilizes its monetary system against volatile private currencies.

Economic stability is further bolstered through programmable features, such as smart contracts for targeted stimulus or conditional payments, allowing precise monetary policy implementation. In a post-pandemic era, this capability supports rapid economic interventions, as seen in pilot distributions of e-CNY for consumer stimulus.

Beyond domestic reforms, the digital yuan is a tool for elevating China’s global influence, particularly in reducing reliance on the U.S. dollar and integrating with strategic initiatives.

A core motivation is to accelerate the yuan’s internationalization, which has lagged despite China’s economic might as the world’s second-largest GDP. The e-CNY facilitates this by enabling efficient cross-border transactions, bypassing traditional intermediaries like SWIFT, which is dominated by U.S. interests. Projects like the Multiple CBDC Bridge (mBridge) involve collaborations with other central banks to create platforms for seamless CBDC-based payments.

In trade, the digital yuan could denominate oil futures or bilateral agreements, as seen with Pakistan’s shift to local currencies. For Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) partners, it offers transparent loan disbursements and contractor payments, enhancing control and reducing corruption risks. By 2025, integrations with the Digital Silk Road – part of BRI – extend digital infrastructure, including fintech, to over 16 countries, fostering yuan usage in e-commerce and payments.

In an era of U.S.-China tensions, the e-CNY serves as a hedge against sanctions. It allows Chinese firms to sidestep U.S.-controlled systems, potentially evading restrictions on entities like Huawei.

However, it could “circumvent the U.S. dollar in important global financial transactions,” challenging the dollar’s 80% share in international payments. This aligns with China’s long-term goal of a multipolar financial order, where the yuan gains prominence through technological edge.

The digital yuan’s blockchain-like features enable peer-to-peer networks between central banks, reducing costs and frictions in settlements. However, full realization requires building infrastructure, as China lacks the dollar’s entrenched networks.

Recent U.S. moves, like the GENIUS Act for bank-issued stablecoins, have heightened China’s concerns. These dollar-backed assets threaten capital controls by offering programmable, liquid alternatives. In response, the PBOC’s 2021 white paper highlighted risks from private stablecoins, positioning the e-CNY as a sovereign countermeasure. This defensive stance underscores China’s strategy to “occupy the space” with regulated digital money.

China’s implementation reflects a commitment to fintech leadership. As an early adopter, it sets standards for CBDCs worldwide, influencing designs in other nations. The PBOC’s focus on an “open, inclusive, interoperable, and innovative” system aligns with global trends, while pilots test scalability and security. By doubling down on the e-CNY, China positions itself as a “decisive voice” in international CBDC norms.

China’s active pursuit of the digital yuan is a calculated blend of domestic efficiency, state control, and global ambition. It addresses immediate needs like inclusion and stability while advancing long-term goals of yuan internationalization and geopolitical resilience.

As the e-CNY expands, it could reshape global finance, prompting responses from the U.S. and others. However, success hinges on balancing innovation with trust, amid evolving technological and regulatory landscapes. By 2025, the digital yuan stands as a testament to China’s vision of a state-centric digital future.

Leave a Reply